What is the highest probability price action pattern for forex


The head and shoulders patterns are statistically the most accurate of the price action patterns, reaching their projected target almost 85% of the time. The regular head and shoulders pattern is defined by two swing highs (the shoulders) with a higher high (the head) between them.

What are the Best Forex price action patterns?

2Classic Forex Price Action Patterns 2.1Double Top and Double Bottom 2.2Triple Top and Bottom 2.3Rectangle 2.4Triangles 2.4.1Symmetrical Triangle 2.4.2Ascending and Descending Triangles 2.5Flag and Pennant 2.6Wedges 2.6.1Rising Wedge 2.6.2Falling Wedge 2.6.3Rising Broadening Wedges 2.6.4Falling Broadening Wedges 2.7Head and Shoulders Patterns

What is a high probability price action pattern?

So if you see either of the bullish candlestick patterns appear with a Bull Flag, and is formed on the EMAs, then that is a high probability price action pattern. With Double Bottoms, most of the time you are looking for it in a downtrend when the 20 EMA is below the 50 EMA.

Should you use high probability forex trading strategies?

Using high probability forex trading strategies has enormous advantages for trading psychology. First of all, it does not cost a trader any money. Most importantly, traders do not have to worry about missing a setup, chasing a setup, entering a setup too soon, etc.

What is price action forex trading?

Price Action Forex Trading As price action trading involves the analysis of all the buyers and sellers active in the market, it can be used on any financial market there is. This includes forex, stock indices, stocks and shares, commodities and bonds.


What is the best pattern for forex?

Top Forex chart patterns rankingHead-and-shoulders. Head-and-shoulders — one of the most popular trend-reversing patterns. … Pinbar. … Double top/bottom. … Channel. … Triple top/bottom. … Bearish/bullish engulfing. … Ascending/descending triangle. … Shooting star and bullish hammer.More items…

Which chart is best for price action?

candlestick chartsMany traders use candlestick charts since they help better visualize price movements by displaying the open, high, low and close values in the context of up or down sessions.

What is the most profitable trading pattern?

According to Thomas Bulkowski, the best performing and also most likely to be profitable chart patterns are: bullish flags that are high and tight that breakout to the upside and complex head and shoulders top chart patterns with breakouts to the downside.

What is the most bullish pattern?

Ascending Triangle. An ascending triangle is a bullish continuation pattern and one of three triangle patterns used in technical analysis. The trading setup is usually found in an uptrend, formed when a stock makes higher lows, and meets resistance at the same price level.

How do you master price action?

Price-action trading is an extremely popular trading approach. … which may take some time to master. Open your chart and look for familiar chart patterns, identify important support and resistance levels, and try to spot whether the market is trending or not by looking for higher highs and lower lows in the chart.

How do you predict price action?

Predicting Price Actions These include the relative strength index (RSI), the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) and the money flow index (MFI). They use historical trading data to analyze and predict price movement. Short-term traders plot this information with charts, such as the candlestick chart.

What is the most successful chart pattern?

Triangles. Triangles are among the most popular chart patterns used in technical analysis since they occur frequently compared to other patterns. The three most common types of triangles are symmetrical triangles, ascending triangles, and descending triangles.

Are chart patterns profitable?

Even, if the pattern works you’ll not be able to profit from it! Specifically, by the time most chart patterns is confirmed, a good part of the profit has already been realized by those who cause the patterns in the first place, unintentionally or even intentionally, leaving the rest to fight volatility.

What patterns should I look for in day trading?

Best Day Trading Patterns For BeginnersBest Day Trading Patterns. … Japanese Candlesticks: Why Day Traders Use Them. … Japanese Candlestick Patterns. … Bullish Hammer Pattern. … Bullish Engulfing Candlestick. … Chart Patterns. … Trading the Bull Flag. … Trading the Ascending Triangle.More items…

What is the strongest candlestick pattern?

1. Doji. Considered to be one of the most important single candlestick patterns, the doji can give you an insight into the market sentiment. Dojis are said to be formed when the opening price and the closing price of a stock are the same.

Which chart is best for trading?

For most stock day traders, a tick chart will work best for actually placing trades. The tick chart shows the most detailed information and provides more potential trade signals when the market is active (relative to a one-minute or longer time frame chart).

Which candlestick time is best?

The best time frame for candlesticks is daily bars and relatively short holding periods from 1 to ten days. Thus, candlesticks are most useful for short-term trading. We backtested different time frames from 15-minute bars to monthly bars.

What is the most accurate price action pattern?

The head and shoulders patterns are statistically the most accurate of the price action patterns, reaching their projected target almost 85% of the time. The regular head and shoulders pattern is defined by two swing highs (the shoulders) with a higher high (the head) between them. The inverted head and shoulders pattern has two swing lows with a lower low between them. The two outer swing highs/lows don’t have to be at the same price, but the closer they are to the same area the stronger the pattern generally becomes.

What is channel price pattern?

The channel price pattern is a fairly common sight in trending moves that have good volume and acts as a delayed continuation pattern. Note that the channel pattern is similar to the flag in that they both have periods of consolidation between parallel trendlines, but the channel pattern is generally wider and consists of many more bars which increases its strength and success rate.

Why is it dangerous to anticipate double and triple tops?

Because the swing points following the double and triple highs or lows don’t break to confirm the patterns, those reversals are not confirmed. This is why it can be very dangerous to try to anticipate double and triple tops/bottoms, because often they don’t fully complete and price will resume the prior trend.

What is price action pattern?

The patterns can provide indications whether the trend will continue or reverse. A price action pattern or formation is simply a configuration of the price action. Many of these configurations can be bounded by trend lines.

How many times must the price touch the trend line?

Both trend lines must have the similar (or close) angle. The price must touch each trend line at least twice and the area within the triangle must be covered with the price action. Remember: The point where the two trend lines meet is called the apex. The price must breakout before reaching the apex.

How to find the target of a triangle?

The target for the triangle is identified by measuring the distance between the first trough and the first peak of the triangle, then projected from the breakout point. Chart example: . The triangle can be a reversal or a continuation pattern, depending on the direction of the entry(prior trend) and the exit(breakout).

Is a head and shoulders pattern more reliable?

It is the exact opposite of head and shoulders top. In both top and bottom head and shoulder patterns, if the pattern has a symmetry in both side of the head, the pattern is considered more reliable. There is a variation of the head and shoulders patterns, where more than two shoulders are formed.

What should happen next in the price action pattern textbooks?

According to the price action pattern textbooks: What should happen next is that you should enter a sell trade at the border of the neckline. Look to take profit a distance of pips equal to the distance from the neckline to the head of the pattern.

What happens in stage 2 of the bull market?

Stage 2: This stage follows on from the first stage, the bears then realising that the bulls have not yet taken control of the market realize that there is still room for the price to decrease further. What then happens is that the price moves and breaks beyond the previous low going as far down to a low level whereby the combination of bulls entering the market and bears taking profit off their positions suddenly increases the price to a price region as shown in the figure below.

What is triangle pattern?

The triangle pattern is a price action pattern in which there is indecision within the market. Let’s look at the type of triangle chart patterns and how you should approach drawing them and potentially profiting from them.

What is stage 3 in the bear market?

Stage 3: This stage acts as the confirmation stage involving the bears last attempt to push price lower. BUT by this time the bulls have taken their position within the market and are determined to increase the price. The price is seen to gradually decrease, and then surge back up to the neckline. When this happens an inverse Head and Shoulder pattern has been formed successfully.

What is high probability trading?

The trader must have the proper technical or fundamental tools for market forecasting, along with the right mental perspective when interacting in the financial markets . Both are important in achieving consistent trading results. In this lesson, we will discuss what high probability trading entails and how we can gain an edge from our market analysis.

What is the best way to build a high probability trading system?

Building a high probability trading system or strategy requires a good deal of market knowledge and skill. But the time spent testing, refining, and optimizing your trading model is well worth the effort.

What are the most common patterns in a trade?

Some of the more common chart patterns include the head and shoulders, double top and double bottom, rectangle, wedge, triangle, flag, pennant, and cup and handle. Each of these patterns has a unique visual appearance, and when traded properly, they can provide for high probability trade signals. Let’s take a closer look at three such high …

Which shoulder is the highest peak in the swing pattern?

This includes the left shoulder, which is an important swing high, followed by the head, which is highest peak within the pattern, and finally the right shoulder which is an important swing high that follows the head formation. Below you can see an illustration of the head and shoulders pattern.

What is technical chart pattern?

Technical chart patterns are a subset of technical analysis. It is a discretionary based trading technique that is quite popular among Forex and futures market traders. Classical chart patterns are essentially price action structures that form unique patterns on the price chart. There are many chart patterns that can occur in the market.

What is a Harami price action pattern?

The harami price action pattern is a two candle pattern which represents indecision in the market and is used primarily for breakout trading. It can also be called an ‘inside candle formation’ as one candle forms inside the previous candle’s range, from high to low.

What is price action analysis?

Through your price action analysis, you will gain an edge on what is more likely to happen next – the market going up or down. The ‘how’, is the mechanics of your trade. In essence, it is the manner in which you will trade. This analysis involves knowing your price levels for entry, stop-loss and target.

What are the advantages of forex?

However, the forex market has some specific advantages for price action traders, such as: 1 Open 24 hours a day, five days a week – a true representation of buying and selling across all continents. 2 Large liquidity – enabling you to trade in and out of markets within nanoseconds. 3 Low spreads – some, not all, forex currency pairs offer low spreads which could keep the traders’ commission costs low. 4 Leverage – forex trading is a leveraged product meaning you can control a large position with a small deposit. This could mean big wins but also big losses, so please trade responsibly.

What does “target a one to one reward to risk” mean?

Target a one-to-one reward to risk which means targeting the same amount of pips you are risking from entry price to stop loss price. 5. If the trade has not triggered by the open of a new candle, cancel the order. If the trade has triggered leave it in the market until stop loss or target levels have been reached.

What is low spread forex?

Leverage – forex trading is a leveraged product meaning you can control a large position with a small deposit. This could mean big wins but also big losses, so please trade responsibly.

Is scalping a short term strategy?

However, as scalping involves taking very short term trades multiple times a day, there are more filters required to trade a price action setup.

What are reverse price action patterns?

Reversal patterns are probably the most important set of price action patterns you need to really have a deep understanding of, as they can give you early clues about if a movement in the market is coming to an end. The six patterns I’m going to be showing you in this section are all multi-swing shape patterns, which means that each one of the patterns forms from more than one upswing and downswing taking place in the market, and they all look similar to common shapes upon their completion.

What are the two patterns of price action reversal?

The final two price action reversal patterns we’re going to look at, are the rising wedge and the falling wedge. The rising and falling wedges are two patterns which get their name from the way the market sometimes contracts before the end of an up-move or down-move. The contraction of the swings is what creates the wedge and gives the patterns their name.

What are the rising and falling wedges?

In closing, the rising and falling wedges are two patterns which are important for you to be able to recognize 0n a chart , but are not patterns which you should use to look for entries into trades, due to the way many false signals will appear as the swings contract and the pattern nears completion.

What does it mean to be a price action trader?

To be a price action trader means having a deep understanding of the various different price action patterns that form in the market. The problem with these patterns, is that because there are so many of them that form in the market, knowing which ones you should take the time out to learn and which you should leave can be quite challenging.

Why do pin bars cause different sized reversals?

The reason why pin bars cause different sized reversals to occur, is because of the action that caused the pin bar to form in the first place.

Is ascending triangle good for trading?

The ascending and descending triangle patterns are good to know but not that great for trading, due to the way a few false breakouts will usually take place before the real breakout occurs and causes the market to move in the direction it was moving in prior to the pattern forming in the market.

Is a rising wedge a continuation pattern?

Whilst the rising and falling wedges are most often found to be price action reversal patterns, they can also be continuation patterns if they happen to form during downtrends and up-trends respectively.

What can a forex trader choose?

Each Forex trader can choose their own indicators, tools, patterns, trends, and support and resistance for the roles of decision spot and trigger. There is no right or wrong method and you should pick something which you like to use and that matches your trading plan and psychology.

What is forex trading?

The Forex market is constantly offering lower and higher quality trade setups. It is our job as traders to scan, recognize, select, enter and exit the ones with the best odds and reward to risk. The best way is via a strategy. A Forex strategy helps identify setups with a long-term edge because it allows traders to analyze …

What is pivot point?

Pivot Points is a great indicator to gauge dynamic support and resistance levels. One of the easiest trade setups using pivot points is to buy at support and sell at resistance. When the price interacts with these pivot points it can sometimes produce a decent amount of momentum for a nice quick profit.

What is a pin bar?

A pin bar at the trend line à a bounce trade. A breakout candle through the trend line à a breakout trade (the requirement for avoiding a false breakout: a candle close to a close near the low and most of the candle through the candle) Traders can use different tools and indicators for each of the two roles.

Why are decision spots important?

Decision spots are important and key levels of the time frame of your choice. Identifying decision spots allows traders to ignore price action in the ‘middle of nowhere and wait for the price to reach the ‘lines in the sand’.

What are runners up in a trend line?

Runners-up are support and resistance, patterns, and moving averages. For triggers, my number one tool is the candlestick and candlestick patterns. Runners-up are fractals and trend lines. Here is an example: the price is in an uptrend but far from support. After a while, the price moves back to the support trend line.

Is high probability forex good for psychology?

Using high probability forex trading strategies has enormous advantages for trading psychology. First of all, it does not cost a trader any money. Most importantly, traders do not have to worry about missing a setup, chasing a setup, entering a setup too soon, etc.

What is FTB in trading?

FTB. When the market comes back to an FTR zone that was previously formed for the first time, it is called FTB or First Time Back. It tests the FTR zone during trend continuation. Remember, FTR is a momentum continuation pattern, and FTB is a trend continuation pattern.

Do traders wait for FTB to take new trades?

So many traders may wait to close their trade with small losses or break even. Besides, many traders always wait for the FTB to take new trades in favor of the new direction. Above is a graphical example of how FTR and FTB actually work together.


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